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B tags

Hang Seng Index Chart

Singapore Straits Times Index Chart

Malaysia KLCI Index Chart

S&P 500 Index Chart

FTSE 100 Index Chart

BSE Sensex Index Chart

NSE Nifty 50 Index Chart

Baltic Dry Index

U tags

Hang Seng Index Chart

Singapore Straits Times Index Chart

Malaysia KLCI Index Chart

S&P 500 Index Chart

FTSE 100 Index Chart

BSE Sensex Index Chart

NSE Nifty 50 Index Chart

Jakarta Composite Index Chart

Korea KOSPI Index Chart

Taiwan TSEC Index Chart

I tags

Hang Seng Index Chart

In the previous post on Sep 30 ‘11, it was pointed out that the gap in the Hang Seng chart between 18700 and 18300 was a ‘measuring gap’ with a downward target of 16000. The index dropped to a new intra-day low of 16170 on Oct 4 ‘11. Since bear market targets tend to fall a little short (while bull market targets usually overshoot), the downward target of 16000 may be considered as met. Note that the ROC, the RSI and the slow stochastic did not drop to new lows while the Hang Seng dropped lower. The positive divergences hinted at a rally that has not only propelled the index above its 20 day EMA, indicating short-term strength, but has closed the ‘measuring gap’ as well. The receding volumes during this week is an indication that the rally is losing momentum. The technical indicators are giving mixed signals, hinting at a period of consolidation. The MACD is rising above its signal line, but remains negative. The ROC is positive and well above its rising 10 day MA, but has turned down. The RSI has climbed above its 50% level, which is a bullish sign. The slow stochastic has entered its overbought zone, from which has turned back quickly in the past four occasions. Singapore Straits Times Index Chart

The Straits Times index dropped to a new low of 2522 on Oct 5 ‘11, but the MACD, the ROC and the RSI touched higher bottoms (marked by blue arrows). The positive divergences preceded a sharp rally that crossed the 20 day EMA as expected, and almost reached the falling 50 day EMA. A small ‘reversal day’ pattern on Oct 13 ‘11 supported by good volumes appears to have brought the rally to a temporary halt. The Singapore index closed higher today, but made a lower top and lower bottom bar. Volumes were much lower as well. The technical indicators are looking bullish. The MACD is rising above its signal line in negative territory. The ROC has climbed into positive territory and is above its 10 day MA. The RSI has moved above the 50% level. The slow stochastic has entered its overbought zone. A test of resistance from the 50 day EMA may be in the offing. Malaysia KLCI Index Chart

S&P 500 Index Chart

The S&P 500 index chart dropped to a new intra-day low of 1075 on Oct 4 ‘11, but instead of falling lower the index bounced up sharply and caught the bears by surprise. The index has crossed above the 20 day EMA again and is likely to test the resistance from the falling 50 day EMA. The rising volumes should provide an added impetus to the bulls. The technical indicators haven’t quite turned bullish yet. The slow stochastic and the RSI are below their 50% levels. The MACD and the ROC are both negative. However, all four indicators touched higher bottoms while the index dropped lower. The positive divergences could lead to a breach of the 50 day EMA. The economic news remains mixed – neither favouring a double-dip recession, nor showing any strength. Sept ‘11 small truck sales were higher by 9.5% over Aug ‘11, and 20% higher on a YoY basis – a sign that small businessmen are seeing growth on the horizon. ISM’s non-manufacturing business activity index rose by 2.7% over Aug ‘11 and about 5% on a YoY basis. But announced corporate layoffs rose sharply above the 100,000 mark. ECRI’s Weekly Leading Index (WLI) of growth declined further to – 8.1 from the previous week’s – 7.2. FTSE 100 Index Chart

BSE Sensex Index Chart

Note that the BSE Sensex chart has formed several small gaps during the past 9 weeks, including the upward gap on Fri. Oct 7 ‘11. Such gaps, formed within a rectangular consolidation zone, are called ‘common gaps’ that have little technical significance. The much larger downward gap that occurred when the Sensex broke down below the descending triangle (marked by light-blue oval), is a ‘breakaway gap’ that is more crucial technically. Till that gap is filled, bulls will remain at the receiving end. The technical indicators are bearish, but showing some signs of recovery. The MACD is negative and below the signal line, but attempting a turnaround. The ROC has climbed above its 10 day MA, but is negative. The RSI has bounced up a bit near its oversold zone, but remains below the 50% level. The slow stochastic is trying to emerge from its oversold zone. Q2 results should start hitting the market in the coming week. They are unlikely to be great, but the markets tend to discount such expectations in advance. Still, there will be stock-specific moves based on positive or negative surprises. Investors should remain nimble to take advantage of any opportunities. NSE Nifty 50 Index Chart

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Friday, October 14, 2011

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Stock Index Chart Patterns – Hang Seng, Singapore Straits Times, Malaysia KLCI – Oct 14 ‘11
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Stock Chart Pattern – Diamines and Chemicals (an update)
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Why long-term investors should look at the big picture
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Stock Index Chart Patterns – S&P 500 and FTSE 100 – Oct 07, ‘11
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BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty 50 Index Chart Patterns – Oct 07, ‘11
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Stock Index Chart Patterns – Jakarta Composite, Korea KOSPI, Taiwan TSEC – Oct 07 ‘11
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Gold & Silver charts - up, up and away? - Sep 2011
Gold & Silver charts - an update - Aug 2011
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Gold & Silver charts - finding bottoms - Jul 2011
Gold & Silver charts - an update - Jun 2011
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Gold & Silver charts - technical headwinds - May 2011
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Gold chart - another buying opportunity? Mar 2011
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Gold chart - another new high - Dec 2010
10 year Gold Chart - Nov 2010
Go for Gold - Oct 2010
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Break Out and Reversal days
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Jul 2011 - Slow economic growth
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2011
October 2011
Stock Index Chart Patterns – Hang Seng, Singapore ...
Stock Chart Pattern – Diamines and Chemicals (an u...
Why long-term investors should look at the big pic...
Stock Index Chart Patterns – S&P 500 and FTSE 100 ...
BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty 50 Index Chart Patterns –...
Stock Index Chart Patterns – Jakarta Composite, Ko...
Should investors keep a beady eye on the BDI (Balt...
Gold and Silver Chart Patterns: end of long bull r...
Stock Index Chart Patterns – S&P 500 and FTSE 100 ...
Two market breadth indicators (an update)
BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty 50 Index Chart Patterns –...
September 2011
Stock Index Chart Patterns – Hang Seng, Singapore ...
Stock Chart Pattern – Cairn India (an update)
Notes from the USA (Sep 2011) - a guest post
Why small investors should emulate a convicted mur...
Stock Index Chart Patterns – S&P 500 and FTSE 100 ...
Stock Index Chart Patterns - BSE Sectoral Indices,...
BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty 50 Index Chart Patterns –...
Stock Index Chart Patterns – Shanghai Composite, K...
To make money in the stock market, avoid these thr...
Stock Chart Pattern - Hindustan Unilever (An Updat...
Gold and Silver Chart Patterns: an update
Stock Index Chart Patterns – S&P 500 and FTSE 100 ...
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The index provides "an assessment of the price of moving the major raw materials by sea. Taking in 26 shipping routes measured on a timecharter and voyage basis, the index covers Handymax, Panamax, and Capesize dry bulk carriers carrying a range of commodities including coal, iron ore, and grain."
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